LGU SAN ROQUE: MDRRMC MEETING FOR PREPAREDNESS OF “TYPHOON AMBO”.
MDRRMO conduct a meeting with the MDRRM Council and IAWGTF for measures and responses for the incoming “Typhoon Ambo” lead by Mayor Don L Abalon.
#WEATHER UPDATES
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM VONGFONG (AMBO) UPDATE NO. 06
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday, 13 May 2020
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday, 13 May 2020
Current Status and Outlook:
AMBO has rapidly intensified into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as observed on satellite data during the past 3 to 6 hours, after being upgraded into a Tropical Storm (TS) last night…now pose a serious threat to Samar and Bicol Provinces. It is now known internationally as “VONGFONG” which means Wasp (contributed by: Macao, China).
24-hr Outlook: STS AMBO (VONGFONG) is forecast to rapidly intensify into a Typhoon later today and will start moving west-northwestward across the western part of the Central Philippine Sea, east of Northern Samar with a slow forward speed of 10 km/hr on Thursday early morning (May 14).
The Western Trough of STS AMBO (VONGFONG) will bring scattered to occasional rain showers and thunderstorms across Eastern Mindanao, Eastern Visayas, and Eastern Bicol today and tomorrow.
Where is VONGFONG (AMBO)?
As of 5:00 AM PhT today, May 13…2100 GMT. The center was located over the southern part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 11.9°N 129.0°E), about 394 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar or 591 km east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay.
How strong is it?
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs): Northwest @ 06 kph, towards Samar-Bicol Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s): Over Northern Sorsogon-Eastern Albay (along Prieto Diaz-Sto. Domingo Area), between 11 PM to 2 AM local time on Late Thursday Evening to Friday Early Morning (May 14-15) – with High Strike Probability of 65%.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?
Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to more than 100 mm expected):
>> Bicol Region, Northern & Eastern Samar – beginning Thursday through Friday (May 14-15).
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> Northern Samar, Sorsogon, & Albay – beginning Thursday Evening through Early Friday Morning (May 14-15).
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**:
+ THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies rapidly into a Category 1 Typhoon while moving into the western part of the Central Philippine Sea, approaching the coastal areas of Northern Samar…about 207 km ENE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2AM May 14: 12.5°N 127.1°E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
+ FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Makes landfall over Eastern Albay after brushing the northernmost part of Sorsogon…becomes a Category 2 Typhoon while moving WNW to NW-ward…about 18 km ENE of Legazpi City, Albay [2AM May 15: 13.2°N 123.9°E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
+ SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: In the vicinity of Kasibu, Nueva Vizcaya after making another landfall over Aurora…about 55 km NNW of Baler, Aurora [2AM May 16: 16.2°N 121.4°E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.